garden — research

Three lanes (docs/RESEARCH_postcutoff_pulse.md · RESEARCH_frontier2.md · RESEARCH_cli_capabilities.md), synthesized.

Mysteries resolved

"Claude Tag" = Anthropic's Slack-teammate product (beta ~Jun 23, Enterprise/Team): persistent @-taggable teammate, multiplayer, self-waking. Not a CLI surface. (trq212 launch thread cited in cli doc.)
bridgeSessionId = the claude.ai ingress id a CLI session registers under (Remote Control / claude.ai/code / mobile).
claude agents --json exposes busy/idle/waiting-on-permission per live session — Mission Control's best unused feed.

The re-ranked build queue (spree verdict)

Context-tax gauge + fresh-session advisor — the "$20 hey" (847k resent tokens) is the loudest credit-era pain; data already parsed; zero competitors.
Fallback detector → reroute receipts — Anthropic admitted the Opus fallback (Jul 1); field rates 0.25%–75% by workload; extend the shipped detector into trend receipts ("nerf receipts").
OAuth quota windows (plans/04) — now TABLE STAKES (CodexBar v0.38.1+, monclaude, new dashboard entrants all ship it).
Menu-bar presence (plans/03) — repositioned: the "notch panel" category (Open Island 1.5k★, Vibe Island) owns ambient presence; ours = the thin judgment strip, fleet-wide.
Tool ledger (plans/05) unchallenged · recipe mining (plans/06) stays parked.

Moats confirmed holding (7-day resweep)

Zero cross-machine/Tailscale entrants · zero credit simulators · zero transcript fallback forensics. CodexBar shipped v0.41.0 (Jul 6 night); ccusage/ccstatusline dormant; cmux week quiet (watch private cmux-bellhop/agentbus).

Credit-era field numbers (for the simulator/receipts copy)

$25.86 one 17-min /simplify · $2,276/week self-estimate · $1,145 API-value in a $200 Max month · gifted-credit deletions ($200, 4+ reports) · early-cutoff timezone chaos. Restoration: soft trq212 signal; Polymarket prices a Thursday return.

CLI surface to exploit (from the capability audit)

Self-wake machinery (ScheduleWakeup, durable CronCreate → .claude/scheduled_tasks.json, asyncRewake) → replaces poll-loops in ~/loops · --max-budget-usd per-run cost caps · sandbox w/ credential masking (v2.1.199) · TaskCompleted/TeammateIdle exit-2 hooks as mechanical done-gates · CLAUDE_CODE_TAGS for grouping loop-spawned sessions · --bg pre-warmed daemon · /cd /fork · plugin eval.

Honest gaps